Thursday, September 2, 2010

Fabulous-15 Update

FABULOUS-15 is so far 4.73% higher and Nifty has once again tested 5350 support below which only major correction is expected. We have continued to hold Cautious view with just 30% investment pending market correction to pour in reserved money. 6 stocks we have taken profits and from remaining ones JUBILANT, POWERGRID, NEYVELI, MRPL, GLENMARK, ADHUNIK have remained steady like a rock and these stocks look even better than before to reach targets soon. EMCO and EKC are more than 30% down and as per strategy we would try to average them but we would wait for right time as time-wise correction is also important. In a bear market Rs 100 stock becomes Rs 50 and that may become Rs 25 also if bad times continue, but same stock can achieve heights of more than Rs 200 in next bull market i.e. the cycle of markets. Good time for investors is actually a bad phase of markets while a good phase is a bad time to invest, so we would continue to maintain caution and take each stock on its merit. Now we hold 14 stocks and still to add 1 more place is available but waiting is better for time being.

FABULOUS-15 TRACKER (Prices in Rs)
Stock
Name
Reco
Price
CMP
Target
%
Weight
%
Returns
Action
3IINFOTECH
87
58
118
2
-33
Hold
ADHUNIK MET
110
111
152
2
1
Hold
EKC
156
108
189
2
-31
Hold
EMCO
91
65
130
2
-29
Hold
GLENMARK
278
290
350
2
4
Hold
GUJ NRE COKE
72
57
110
2
-21
Hold
MRPL
78
77
100
2
-2
Hold
NEYVELILIG
152
159
196
2
5
Hold
POWERGRID
109
108
141
2
-1
Hold
SUZLON
75
47
140
4
-37
Hold
JUBILANT
325
349
450
2
7
Hold
FSL
30
25
38
2
-16
Hold
IDBI
131
124
170
2
-5
Hold
TATAELXI
252
233
320
2
-8
Hold
GSPL
98
118
125
2
20
Hold
IFCI
54
62
75
2
15
BP
GIC HOUSING
88
122
150
2
39
BP
GREAVES COT
286
338
352
2
18
BP
SKUMAR
41
49
70
2
20
BP
ABG SHIP
210
270
270
2
29
BP
Total



30
-1.24

Add:

Interest @ 6% for 8 months
4.00
Total % Returns
2.76
Annualized Returns %
4.73


  • This is just a model portfolio.
  • Be just 30% invested and don't do averaging for the sake of that.
  • Do not average if 30% dip is not seen after your purchase, averaging should be considered time-wise also.
  • At least 2-3 months must pass before you buy again in a dip.
  • As we hold a view that Sensex below 13000 in 2010 can be possible so avoid aggressively and leveraged positions.
  • This market is a bear market which can cut both ways, it is always difficult to mint money in such market and it is better to be an investor and accumulate.
  • Being correct in market is difficult so we have invested 28% so that in case of market rally we don't miss the opportunities.
DTC's impact on India Inc - Guj NRE Coke stands to benefit by new DTC - http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/dtc%5Cs-impactindia-inc/406668/