Sunday, April 25, 2010

Fabulous-15 Update


FABULOUS-15 is +0.83% and Nifty was flat this week, it started weak after Goldman Sachs worries hit markets but Nifty took support at 5160 and showed resilience as compared to other global indices.  EMCO and ADHUNIK MET are showing strength and these two stocks may reach targets very soon while NEYVELI has shown positive formations this week. NHPC, ONMOBILE and IDBI can be replacements for these stocks but we will try to exit first and then take bet on new stocks as it is still advisable to remain just 30% invested. F&O expiry can make markets volatile but 5200 looks difficult to be broken this week and expiry may happen near 5400 and above. For results announced by 174 companies so far, Sales growth is 56% while Profit growth is 28% driven by lower interest costs by 13% and depreciation charges are up 58% which have boosted cash profits, much important results are to be seen next week which can give a better picture. IMD (Indian Met Dept) has forecast normal monsoon rains this year and it can be a soothing factor for the farm sector but best is discounted by the market and stock-specific approach is advisable.
FABULOUS-15 TRACKER (Prices in Rs)
Stock Name
Reco Price
CMP
Target
% Returns
Action
3IINFOTECH
87
76
118
-13
Hold
ADHUNIK MET
110
127
152
15
Hold
EKC
156
117
189
-25
Hold
EMCO
91
95
130
4
Hold
GIC HOUSING
92
89
150
-3
Hold
GLENMARK
278
269
350
-3
Hold
GSPL
98
93
125
-5
Hold
GUJ NRE COKE
80
85
110
6
Hold
IFCI
54
50
75
-7
Hold
MRPL
78
76
100
-3
Hold
NEYVELILIG
152
151
196
-1
Hold
POWERGRID
109
109
141
0
Hold
SUZLON
91
71
140
-22
Hold
JUBILANT
325
332
430
2
Hold
FSL
30
31
38
3
Hold
GREAVES COT
286
338
352
18
BP
SKUMAR
41
49
70
20
BP
ABG SHIP
210
270
270
29
BP
Total Returns (%)



0.83