Monday, June 7, 2010

Fabulous-15 Update

Many stocks from our list FABULOUS-15 have recovered well this week and show better days ahead as the list has so far clearly outperformed the Nifty. IFCI is near weekly breakout above Rs 55 above which our target of Rs 75 would look near. GSPL has hit 5 month high this week and above Rs 105 it would be 52-week high, this is one stock which can perform even in a bear market. MRPL rose more than 5% this week as Fuel Price Deregulation may come and if that really happens this stock can move faster. EMCO rose nearly 10% as stock showed value-buying support. SUZLON continues to underperform and it has fallen 8% this week, company has announced Rights issue at 2:15 at Rs 63/share. Nifty has remained in pullback mode this week and it looks the rally may touch 5170 levels before reversing. But aggression should be avoided as risk-reward is not favourable at current levels. We would stick with 32% cash levels for now and if good correction is seen we will try to add to our stock positions.

FABULOUS-15 TRACKER (Prices in Rs)
Stock
Name
Reco
Price
CMP
Target
%
Weight
%
Returns
Action
3IINFOTECH
87
66
118
2
-24
Hold
ADHUNIK MET
110
109
152
2
-1
Hold
EKC
156
133
189
2
-15
Hold
EMCO
91
85
130
2
-7
Hold
GIC HOUSING
92
94
150
2
2
Hold
GLENMARK
278
257
350
2
-8
Hold
GSPL
98
98
125
2
0
Hold
GUJ NRE COKE
72
59
110
2
-18
Hold
IFCI
54
54
75
2
0
Hold
MRPL
78
70
100
2
-10
Hold
NEYVELILIG
152
148
196
2
-3
Hold
POWERGRID
109
105
141
2
-4
Hold
SUZLON
75
55
140
4
-26
Hold
JUBILANT
325
347
450
2
7
Hold
FSL
30
26
38
2
-13
Hold
GREAVES COT
286
338
352
2
18
BP
SKUMAR
41
49
70
2
20
BP
ABG SHIP
210
270
270
2
29
BP
Total



32
-1.58



  • Be just 32% invested and don't do averaging for the sake of that.
  • Don't average if 30% dip is not seen after your purchase, averaging should be considered time-wise also.
  • At least 2-3 months must pass before you buy again in a dip.
  • As we hold a view that Sensex below 13000 in 2010 can be possible so avoid aggressively and leveraged positions.
  • This market is a bear market which can cut both ways, it is always difficult to mint money in such market and it is better to be an investor and accumulate.
  • Being correct in market is difficult so we have invested 32% so that in case of market rally we don't miss the opportunities.