Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Fabulous-15 Tracker

FABULOUS-15 has started outperforming and now +0.56%. JUBILANT is very close to its all time high Rs 400 and company has demerged its Agri and Performance polymer business which would make current listed stock a pure CRAMS play and soon our target is expected to reach. MRPL has given a breakout while GSPL too looks good. There are rumours that Banking licenses may soon be announced and IFCI is one stock which would remain active. GUJ NRE COKE has started recovery. ADHUNIK MET is +5% from recommended price and this stock tends to surprise very fast. ONMOBILE would be the stock to invest if any of our pick achieves targets as results season volatility may make it happen soon. Even though % returns shown are 0.56%, for nearly 7 months we have been only 32% invested and on remaining 68% cash the interest income from bank at 6% added overall return are actually more than 2.5%.

FABULOUS-15 TRACKER (Prices in Rs)
Stock
Name
Reco
Price
CMP
Target
%
Weight
%
Returns
Action
3IINFOTECH
87
67
118
2
-23
Hold
ADHUNIK MET
110
116
152
2
5
Hold
EKC
156
134
189
2
-14
Hold
EMCO
91
81
130
2
-11
Hold
GIC HOUSING
92
117
150
2
27
Hold
GLENMARK
278
276
350
2
-1
Hold
GSPL
98
102
125
2
4
Hold
GUJ NRE COKE
72
64
110
2
-11
Hold
IFCI
54
58
75
2
7
Hold
MRPL
78
85
100
2
9
Hold
NEYVELILIG
152
160
196
2
5
Hold
POWERGRID
109
101
141
2
-7
Hold
SUZLON
75
59
140
4
-21
Hold
JUBILANT
325
375
450
2
15
Hold
FSL
30
29
38
2
-3
Hold
GREAVES COT
286
338
352
2
18
BP
SKUMAR
41
49
70
2
20
BP
ABG SHIP
210
270
270
2
29
BP
Total



32
0.56



FIIs churn holdings - raise stake in JUBILANT ORG - http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2010/07/13/stories/2010071352331000.htm


FSL showing breakout and more upside possible in the stock

  • Be just 32% invested and don't do averaging for the sake of that.
  • Don't average if 30% dip is not seen after your purchase, averaging should be considered time-wise also.
  • At least 2-3 months must pass before you buy again in a dip.
  • As we hold a view that Sensex below 13000 in 2010 can be possible so avoid aggressively and leveraged positions.
  • This market is a bear market which can cut both ways, it is always difficult to mint money in such market and it is better to be an investor and accumulate.
  • Being correct in market is difficult so we have invested 32% so that in case of market rally we don't miss the opportunities.