Monday, July 19, 2010

Fabulous-15 Tracker

FABULOUS-15 is up 0.63% and some of our stocks are nearing targets. GSPL is very close to its all time high Rs 114 and once above that Rs 125 target is possible. IFCI has broken out on weekly chart and stock staying above Rs 56 our target can be met in short-term itself. 3i INFOTECH and SUZLON remain gross underperformers along with EKC and EMCO – EKC 200DMA is Rs 141 and close past that we can soon see Rs 160 on the stock. Nifty has failed to cross 5400 on many occasions and fall below 5350 would be harmful for this up trend.


FABULOUS-15 TRACKER (Prices in Rs)
Stock
Name
Reco
Price
CMP
Target
%
Weight
%
Returns
Action
3IINFOTECH
87
66
118
2
-24
Hold
ADHUNIK MET
110
120
152
2
9
Hold
EKC
156
138
189
2
-12
Hold
EMCO
91
77
130
2
-15
Hold
GLENMARK
278
281
350
2
1
Hold
GSPL
98
104
125
2
6
Hold
GUJ NRE COKE
72
65
110
2
-10
Hold
IFCI
54
60
75
2
11
Hold
MRPL
78
81
100
2
4
Hold
NEYVELILIG
152
161
196
2
6
Hold
POWERGRID
109
100
141
2
-8
Hold
SUZLON
75
60
140
4
-19
Hold
JUBILANT
325
358
450
2
10
Hold
FSL
30
28
38
2
-7
Hold
GIC HOUSING
88
122
150
2
39
BP
GREAVES COT
286
338
352
2
18
BP
SKUMAR
41
49
70
2
20
BP
ABG SHIP
210
270
270
2
29
BP
Total



30
0.77

Add:
Interest @ 6% for 7 months
3.50
Total % Returns
4.27
Annualized Returns %
7.32


*GIC HSG FIN cost price is cut by Rs 4.5/share as stock has paid dividend of that quantum.

  • Be just 30% invested and don't do averaging for the sake of that.
  • Do not average if 30% dip is not seen after your purchase, averaging should be considered time-wise also.
  • At least 2-3 months must pass before you buy again in a dip.
  • As we hold a view that Sensex below 13000 in 2010 can be possible so avoid aggressively and leveraged positions.
  • This market is a bear market which can cut both ways, it is always difficult to mint money in such market and it is better to be an investor and accumulate.
  • Being correct in market is difficult so we have invested 30% so that in case of market rally we don't miss the opportunities.