Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Dollar Index - More appreciation to hurt

http://www.youtube.com/akprabhakar#p/u/4/VTbcpcTTo_Y  2 April 2010, Mumbai Seminar we had talked about Dollar appreciating from those levels.
  • We were bullish in Dollar and still we maintain that view. But dollar moving higher beyond a point would be negative for USA.
  • Dollar Index had corrected towards 72 from 120 and now it has jumped towards 14-month high around 87 and it is slowly making the impact of recession felt more. US had been able to boost other economies as their currencies have depreciated.
  • US Exports would get hampered if Dollar appreciates more and that may risk a double-dip recession there.
  • Yuan has appreciated against other currencies as it is pegged against Dollar and it would hamper Chinese exports also and if China derails then many others would soon follow. 
  • Dollar appreciation hurts commodities globally as they possess inverse relationship with the US greenback.

http://www.youtube.com/akprabhakar#p/u/4/VTbcpcTTo_Y 2 April 2010, Mumbai Seminar we had talked about Dollar appreciating from those levels.